How the Pennant Pattern Works
Traders pay close attention
to pennants and flag pattern when
trading. Both are very similar in terms of structure, and it may take some
practice before an investor can readily tell the difference between the two.
These short-term patterns that last only a two to three weeks in length can be
indicated by an initial significant volume move followed by a tapering off
period. pennant
trading strategy Then another strong volume increases at the end as the
break out occurs.
Investors can use this pattern to help figure out how high
the stock will advance by taking the price at the bottom of the “flag pole” in
the initial pattern, then waiting until the price consolidates. synthetic
stock Once consolidated, the stock or index will
break out at a slightly higher level, and if you take the price at the bottom
and add it to the break out price, this will give an excellent indication of
the future price action for the pattern.
For instance, if you have a stock whose price at the base of
the “flag pole” was $10 and it rose aggressive to $20, long
straddle then consolidated to $18.50 where it sits for
a while before breaking out at $19.00. Investors can figure the approximate top
for this pattern by taking the initial $10 and adding it to the $19.00, which
gives one a $29.00 target to hit for the price on this stock for this
particular pattern. Typically, investors will use this pattern in conjunction
with other indicators to boost their chance at an accurate forecast.
Most traders don’t use pennants on their own but combine them with other technical analysis indicators so that they don’t get faked out or get duped into making a bad trade.
Understanding
the Pennant Pattern
Pennants are short-term technical analysis usually lasting
less than 21 days long. In many cases, the formation can only take 3 to 4 days.
Anything taking longer than 21 days is better classified as a symmetrical triangle or falling
wedge.
To identify the pennant pattern, look for a steep,
fast-acting price action leading to the pattern. This attribute is vital as it
helps make spotting the pendant easier. The steep price direction can be up or
down but needs to move several points over a short period.
Attributes
Pattern type: Continuation
Indication: Bearish or bearish
Breakout confirmation: The confirmation for
this pattern is when there is a close above the upper trend line drawn across
the highs for a bullish pennant in a close below the lower trendline for a
bearish pendant, with above-average volume.
Measuring: Take the distance between the
previous steep move leading into the pennant, and then add that to the breakout
level.
Volume: The volume declines during the
formation, expanding on the breakout.
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